SiGe and Si CMOS Technologies Growing at a CAAGR of 127 PercentBoston, MA - 17 July 2008 - "Automotive RADAR: GaAs vs. SiGe 2007-2012," from Strategy Analytics forecasts that the total market demand for RF millimeter-wave components will grow at CAAGR of 44 percent through 2012. While GaAs technology will still be in a dominant position at that point, all the major tier one automotive systems companies are moving to silicon technologies for their next generation RADAR platforms.
Over the 2009 to 2012 timeframe, we will see GaAs technology supplanted by CMOS and SiGe technologies for use in both long-range and short-range automotive RADAR systems, with silicon technologies potentially dominating this market from 2013 onwards. Strategy Analytics predicts that the CMOS and SiGe-based automotive RADAR systems will account for 20-40% of the market over the 2009-2012 timeframe.
"Nearly all the major radar manufacturers are hoping to use SiGe in their `next generation' of system designs," observes Asif Anwar, Director of Strategy Analytics GaAs service. "In modeling the competitive threat from silicon technologies, we have factored in increasing silicon technology penetration from 2009 onwards in line with current product design cycles."
Mr. Anwar concluded, "It is not a case of a gradually increasing penetration however, but a series of discreet step increases aligned around three to four year product design cycles. We'll see 20-40% penetration over the 2009-2012 timeframe and then another potential shift beginning in 2013."