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Orange, Orascom Stalemated Over Mobinil
Losing Ownership of Egypt's #1 Operator Might Benefit Orascom in the Long Run
Boston, MA - 6 May 2009 - The control of Mobinil, the largest mobile operator in Egypt, remains in doubt, according to a recent report from the Strategy Analytics Emerging Markets Communications Strategies (EMCS) service. "Lessons of Mobinil: Can't Live With Partners, Can't Live Without Them," reviews the events that led to the currently unresolved ownership dispute between France Telecom-Orange and Orascom-and suggests that Orascom might actually be better off if it loses this battle.
Orascom, the Egyptian multinational operator that owned 35% of Mobinil, brought arbitration proceedings against Orange, which owned 36%, in an effort to obtain majority control. Ironically, the International Court of Arbitration ruled earlier this year that Orange should buy out Orascom, which would have resulted in Orascom receiving $1.7 billion, by its calculations, or $715 million, according to Orange.
"Obviously, Orascom doesn't want to get pushed out of its home market," notes Tom Elliott, Director of EMCS and the report's author, "but it may have better growth opportunities outside of Egypt, where it currently faces two strong competitors in a saturating market which will soon require significant infrastructure investment."
In recent years Orascom has been moving back into sub-Saharan Africa, and is said to be interested in opportunities in Morocco and Lebanon. Further afield, it has investments in Canada and is operating a mobile network in North Korea.
According to Phil Kendall, Director of the Wireless Networks Strategies service, "Orascom has activities under way that are going to require significant financing. In hindsight, it may prove that cashing out of Mobinil was the best thing it could have done."
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